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MEASURING THE IMPACT
RESULTING FROM IMPLEMENTING
AN ORGANIZATIONAL CAPABILITY PLAN

NCR Corporation Sales and Service Operations
by Melinda Morrow and William Wurtz

ABSTRACT
This case looks at the business impact achieved through an organization diagnostic and planning method known as the organization capability assessment and alignment process (OCAA). This approach aids executives in executing a new or reframed business strategy. The assessment helps determine what collective abilities an organization will need to execute the strategy, then sets action items to align those needs to critical capabilities called for in the new strategy. This study, involving the restructuring of a sales support organization of a major international computer manufacturer, demonstrates how to derive a credible return on investment estimate for this type of intervention.

INTRODUCTION
As companies struggle in an evermore competitive marketplace, organization development and other hard-to-measure functions are coming under increasing scrutiny. OD practitioners are faced with growing demands from clients and executives to demonstrate the value of their work. Indicators of this trend may be seen in both the professional literature and in the topics chosen for professional conferences. For example, Phillips (1977) reviews a growing list of books and articles, written for those in the human and organization performance improvement field, on measuring program outcomes to demonstrate value to senior executives. Another example is a survey, conducted by the world's largest association for performance improvement professionals, to determine member interest in potential topics for its 1998 annual conference. The results showed that evaluation, specifically outcome-based evaluation, to be one of the most demanded subjects by practitioners. A final example is another 1998 conference, this one sponsored by a leading OD graduate program, which promoted the theme of “Empirically-Driven Change” to emphasize the need for more rigor in OD measurement.

Evaluation, of course, is not a new topic for OD practitioners. Evaluation has always been listed as the final phase of the action research model, a frequently used strategy in OD interventions (Sherwood, 1972). Yet even the most cursory review of OD projects shows wide variations in the comprehensiveness, rigor and credibility of these evaluations. The authors' informal observations indicate that the majority of OD evaluations feature little more than reaction data from clients and other participants. If these findings are a reasonable reflection of the current state of the field, then it is incumbent on OD practitioners to begin “tooling up” to conduct more rigorous evaluations. This article presents a method that provides a structured, rigorous, results-based approach to generating credible evaluation information. This approach can be of significant benefit to OD practitioners and their clients in assessing both the progress and ultimate impacts of OD efforts.

The following study shows how a credible, and impressive, return on investment (ROI) estimate was derived for one application of a relatively new OD technology, the organizational capabilities assessment and alignment (OCAA) process. The analysis was conducted jointly by the principal consultant on the intervention (Morrow) and a colleague with expertise in results-based evaluation (Wurtz), both then members of an internal company OD group. The study begins with background information on the company, a global computer manufacturer, and its sales and service organization, which used the process. The study proceeds with a description of both the OCAA and ROI evaluation methodologies and how they were applied in this instance. It concludes with a discussion of implications of more rigorous evaluation for OD practice.

NCR BACKGROUND
NCR, formally the National Cash Register Company, has been in business for nearly 115 years. The company enjoyed good fortune for many of those years. It was known as a technical and organizational innovator and a breeding ground for executive talent. For example, Thomas Watson, the founder of IBM, built that company on practices he learned while at NCR.

Recent years have been difficult for NCR. The company's fundamental mistake in the 1970s was to ignore the gathering force of the computer revolution until it was almost too late. Finally, as NCR approached financial ruin, the company's executives made the fateful decision to embrace the new technology. Once the decision was made, fully one-fourth of NCR's workforce was dismissed as being redundant on the still fearfully remembered “Black Friday.” Still, success has been elusive. After a few years of recovery, NCR still experienced minimal profitability. These difficulties were highlighted even more in an industry which can be characterized as highly competitive (NCR Information Statement, 1996).

Another significant event in NCR's modern history was its hostile takeover by AT&T in September 1991. For five tumultuous years AT&T management attempted to meld NCR's computer manufacturing operations and global infrastructure into its telecommunications business and transform NCR's industrial-era culture to meet the demands of the Information Age. After losing $8 billion on its NCR operations, and another huge downsizing, AT&T spun off NCR as an independent company in 1997 (Nyberg, 1996).

A new executive team adopted what it hoped would be a winning strategy for NCR. The goal was to transform NCR from a “box-maker” to a “solutions provider.” This involves reducing or eliminating computer (“boxes”) manufacturing and moving into “business solutions.” Solutions are bundles of consulting services, software, integrated networking, and boxes which NCR can offer business customers to address defined problems. Solutions provide high profit margins, while computers are increasingly becoming low-margin commodities. It was clear from the beginning that new skills and new organizational capabilities would be required for this strategy to be successful.

BACKGROUND-The Sales and Service Operations Organization
The Sales and Services Operations Organization's (S&SO) was created in January 1997 as part of a reorganization. The intent was to realize savings and efficiencies by eliminating duplication and coordinating related functions more effectively. S&SO's purpose is to perform the “back office” processing, inventory and delivery functions of the NCR sales process. This includes releasing products sold to customers, managing product delivery logistics, and processing invoices and collections. S&SO's 900 employees processed over 81,000 orders in 1997.

The reorganization provided S&SO's vice president with the opportunity to significantly change how these functions were being performed at NCR. A successful effort would contribute substantially to the realization of the solutions model. He contracted with NCR's Organization Development Group for help in implementing a new business strategy.

THE OCAA METHODOLOGY
The organizational capability assessment and alignment (OCAA) process helps organizations examine what collective abilities (“capabilities”) are needed to successfully execute a business strategy and achieve business results (Ulrich, 1990). Capabilities, as shown in Figure 1, are made up, in part, of individual competencies, which in turn are made up of individual skills. OCAA is a form of organization diagnosis, a problem solving activity that identifies gaps between the organization's current and future states, with an action plan as its ultimate output. (Anderson and Morrow, 1997) The process enables organizations to identify the highest priority strategic capabilities that must be addressed for business success. Armed with this information, people in the organization can commit to a plan to create or enhance these capabilities and align everyone's efforts to organization objectives.


Figure 1

An OCAA engagement is conducted as a three-phase process: Plan, Assess, and Align. Each phase has its own set of activities and outcomes, portrayed in Figure 2.


Figure 2

OCAAs should be performed when a business unit develops a new strategy or revises a current one. A revision might be triggered by new competitors entering the marketplace, a change in a competitor's performance, an industrial breakthrough or technical advance, or a significant shift in corporate strategy. OCAA's contributions to enhanced strategy execution are believed to come from a more targeted investment of resources, identification of specific actions required to execute the strategy, and increased strategic focus.

For the S&SO's OCAA, the OCAA practice leader spent approximately two weeks in preliminary analysis and session planning. She met with the vice president three times to plan the first “capability generating session.” The actual OCAA occurred in three sessions, two of which lasted two days and another for three days. The sessions were conducted in May, June and July of 1997. These meetings involved the six S&SO leadership team members.

Concurrently, a survey was administered to the entire 900-person organization, asking how well S&SO was performing 36 organization capabilities. In the last session, the leadership team, plus the human resources and learning managers, analyzed the survey results and identified root causes, change actions, and capability gap priorities. The team made four of the seven identified capability gaps priorities and listed 34 action items to fill them. The interviews conducted for this study revealed that 20 of the 34 action items had been completed. Of these 20, three items were considered to be the primary benefits.

STUDY MODEL AND DATA COLLECTION PLAN
The standard ROI evaluation is conducted at five different levels, as Table 1 shows (Phillips, 1995). This schema establishes a chain of impact between the independent variable (in this case, the OCAA intervention) and the impact on the dependent variables (organizational results).

Table 1. Evaluation Levels
LevelMeasurement Focus
1. Reaction and planned actionMeasures participant satisfaction with the
program and captures planned actions.
2. LearningMeasures changes in knowledge, skills,
and attitudes.
3. Job ApplicationMeasures changes in on-the-job behavior.
4. Business ResultsMeasures changes in business impact variables
5. Return-on-investmentCompares program benefits to costs.

In addition to establishing the chain of impact, a competent ROI evaluation study uses at least one method to isolate the impact of the independent variable (the OD intervention). Isolating the impact (shown in Figure 3 as the ROI model's second phase) can be accomplished with control groups, trend line analysis, or various estimation procedures. Due to the ex post facto nature of the study, estimation procedures were chosen for this purpose.

The estimation procedures can best be described in conjunction with the data collection plan. The six members of the S&SO leadership team were interviewed for this study. They were each asked to review the OCAA action plan with the interviewers (one or both of the study authors). Each person was asked to identify, in turn:
  • the action items actually implemented (20 of the 34 had been)
  • any estimated cost savings resulting from an implemented action item (for the three items determined to be most significant or “primary”)
  • the contribution, in percent, added to each implemented action item by OCAA
  • for each contribution estimate, the interviewee's confidence in that estimate (also in percent)
  • any other intangible contributions provided by the process or other comments
The final estimates were reviewed by the vice president.


Figure 3

For an ROI evaluation study to be useful, it must be credible. Credibility depends on several elements, but one of the most important is the conservative estimation of benefits. This was achieved in this study in several ways. First, the lowest financial estimate for the three primary items was the one used. Interestingly, four interviewees spontaneously deferred the financial estimate request to the two team members closest to the actual operations.* This expertise helped to add precision, in our opinion, particularly in a case like this when the benefits are primarily savings rather than revenue (savings being harder to estimate than revenues).

Second, the financial estimate was made even more conservative by using contribution and confidence estimates (Phillips, 1997). Several factors, in addition to OCAA, probably aided S&O in making the identified improvements. The estimate helps to isolate the amount of benefit contributed by OCAA alone. But because it is an estimate, there is a potential error in it. This is compensated for by the confidence factor. When, for example, an interviewee says she has 60 percent confidence in a contribution estimate, she in effect is saying that there is a potential error of ±.40 per cent in the contribution estimate. Thus, if the contribution estimate is 25 percent, the adjustment is 10 percent (25% X 40% = 10%). The contribution estimate, adjusted for the error of the estimate, is either 35 percent (25% + 10% = 35%) or 15 percent (25% - 10% = 15%). Since the intent is to be conservative, the lesser of the two adjustments-15 percent--is the one used. Note that, once the logic is understood, the conservative result can be obtained simply by multiplying the contribution estimate by the confidence factor (25% X 60% = 15%). When this result-15% in our example--is applied to the financial estimate, say $1 million, the consequent amount, $150,000, is what can reasonably be claimed as the contribution of the intervention.

*NOTE: What happened here should not be seen as a violation of the ROI evaluation research principle that when no improvement data are available for a participant (or an action item), it is assumed that little or no improvement has occurred. All of the participants, as indicated by their willingness to provide contribution and confidence estimates, saw a contribution by OCAA. They simply deferred providing a specific dollar estimate to those in the best position to provide the estimate.

INTERVENTION COSTS
Cost data for the intervention were kept and compiled by the OCAA practice leader, with the assistance of S&SO's finance department. In accordance with ROI analysis principles, these costs, itemized in Table 2, are “fully loaded.”

Table 2. Cost Data
Development Costs
Obtain/Adapt OCAA for NCR$24,801 
Sub-total$24,801
Analysis Costs
Practice Leader Consulting Fees$15,550 
Printing/Reproduction$600 
Outside Services$3,850  
Sub-total$20,000
Delivery Costs
Salaries/Benefits$31,766 
Travel/Lodging/Meals$2,149 
Facilities$1,350 
General Overhead Allocation$645 
Other$50 
Sub-total$35,960
Evaluation Costs
Salaries/Benefits$21,600 
Office Supplies/Expense$50 
General Overhead Allocation$600 
Sub-total$22,250
TOTAL$103,011

INTERVENTION IMPACTS
When the study was begun, the Level 1 data collected were the group action plan and participant reaction data. As is often the case with many OD interventions, and contrary to the practice with most training programs, the participant feedback was collected only from the intervention's primary clients. These clients were the vice-president and S&SO's internal consultant, the intervention's sustaining and initiating sponsors respectively. They gave scores of 4.13 and 4.68 (on a 1 to 5, low to high, scale), an average of 4.41.

The learning (Level 2) that occurs in organization development interventions is also generally different from the learning that occurs in training programs. The goal of training programs is for individuals to acquire specific task-related knowledge and/or skills to some defined level of proficiency. OD interventions may sometimes encompass skill and knowledge objectives, yet at its core, OD efforts are about helping mobilize group commitment to bring about planned change within an organization. (Sherwood, 1972)

Ideally, groups in organizations actively participate together in making decisions about the business unit's future direction. Through a process of group members sharing perceptions (learning from each other) about what needs to change and the options for achieving this change, a consensus is ultimately reached on what needs to happen. The caring at the center of this consensus is commitment, and it is this commitment that provides the emotional energy that aids in seeing a change through to full implementation.

In traditional training-based ROI evaluation studies, increased commitment is typically classified as an intangible organizational impact (Level 4). We argue it is critically important for OD projects to assess the amount of commitment generated at the time the action plan is developed (in effect, Level 2). This was done informally at the time by the practice leader. Confirmation of this commitment was provided in the follow-up interviews conducted with group members for this study. For example, according to the S&SO vice president, "By using this approach to uncover key issues, and then by addressing the issues in a holistic fashion, we were able to realize the momentum necessary to quickly introduce the required changes in a lasting fashion."

Determining Level 3, “application on the job,” was simple for this project. There was total concurrence among the interviewees leaders about how many (20 of the 34) and which of the action items had been implemented.

Level 4, organizational impacts, is of the greatest concern to executives and OD practitioners and the source of information for Level 5, ROI impacts. Level 4 benefits are both intangible and tangible.

INTANGIBLE BENEFITS
Some of the intangible benefits S&SO leaders identified as resulting from participating in the OCAA process bear directly on the commitment issue. These include: focusing on a few key actions for quicker implementation; facilitating communication; and enhancing accountability. According to the S&SO vice president, "By using this approach to uncover key issues, and then by addressing the issues in a holistic fashion, we were able to realize the momentum necessary to quickly introduce the required changes in a lasting fashion."

ROI CALCULATION
Three primary cost savings, attributed to the OCAA intervention, were identified:
  • consolidating warehouse operations
  • consolidating third-party administrative duties into the S&SO order center
  • reducing cancellations of maintenance contracts
The ROI is calculated as follows:

Warehouse consolidation
6 positions savings @ $60,000/position = $360,000
Additional savings of $1.7 Million in streamlined processes
= $360,000 + $1,700,000 = $2,060,000
= $2,060,000 x (most conservative contribution/confidence estimate) 30%
= $618,000

Administrative duties consolidation
68.5 full time equivalent positions savings @ $40,000/position
= 68.5 x $40,000 x (most conservative contribution/confidence estimate) 30%
= $822,000

Reduced maintenance contract cancellations
=$18 Million x (most conservative contribution/confidence estimate) 20%
= $3,600,000

TOTAL INTERVENTION BENEFITS
= $618,000 + $822,000 + $3,600,000 = $5,040,000
ROI = (OCAA Net Benefits ¸ OCAA costs) x 100 =
($5,040,000 - $103,011) ¸ $103,011 =
$4,936,989 ¸ $103,011 =
x 100 =
4792% ROI

In addition to these three benefits, a number of other potential tangible benefits were identified. Several are too early in the implementation phase to yield quantifiable results. The yields from some of the other items are not significant. The list includes: lowered inventory losses, reduced air freight costs, streamlined processes, and better inventory management.

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
The demand for greater organizational accountability is growing, a trend that is likely to continue for some time, as executives try to cope with increasing competition and other forces. OD professionals must respond to this trend with more rigorous measurement efforts. As this study has demonstrated, practical methods exist for developing credible estimates of OD impacts on business results. And while it seems unlikely that many OD efforts will show the huge return evidenced in this study, we are confident that most properly designed and skillfully executed OD projects will show a positive return.

ROI can be a convenient shorthand way to communicate with executives about an OD project's impact. It is important, however, to caution against fixating on the production of a ROI number as the major goal of evaluation. We believe this can create a backward-looking habit of mind that is self-defeating, in two ways. First, it can ultimately erode the very credibility the OD practitioner is trying to build, because clients may come to question the practitioner's motives if the only apparent reason for evaluating is to justify his existence. Second, the resource-intensive activity of evaluation makes little sense if its major output is a single number like ROI, printed in a report that ends up gathering dust on a shelf.

We believe the goals of evaluation should be the promotion of organizational learning and the advancement of the OD discipline. Let us address these in turn. First, as the action-research model suggests, evaluation can add vital information in iterative cycles to an organization's knowledge capital. We envision a time when evaluation data are systemically entered into a predictive database, enabling the organization to better understand and cope with its environment.

Second, we believe that more rigorous measurement will accelerate the development of OD. For example, our participation in this study heightened our awareness of the need to measure more precisely organizational commitment at Level 2 of an engagement like OCAA, as well as Level 4. The challenge for OD practitioners is to develop more accurate and finely-tuned instruments to assess this critical variable. In addition, we have discovered that the evaluation process itself enhances the practice of OD. Working with our clients on the evaluation portion of our intervention plans clarifies for all concerned the expected outcomes and facilitates discussion on how to achieve those outcomes.

REFERENCES
Anderson, M.C. and Morrow, M. “Organization Capability: Creating Simplicity and Focus in Business Life.” Organization Development Journal, Spring 1997, pp. 72-82.
Information Statement: NCR Corporation Common Stock, Par Value $.01 Preferred Share Purchase Rights, 199X, states on page 11: "NCR faces significant competition in all geographic areas where it operates. Its markets are characterized by continuous, rapid technological change, the need to introduce products in a timely manner in order to take advantage of market opportunities, short product life cycles, frequent product performance improvements, and price reductions."

Nyberg, Lars, “Chairman's Letter to Shareholders,” in the 1996 NCR Annual Report. The Chairman and CEO of NCR describes on page 12 the company's condition in its final months as a AT&T subsidiary in this way: "...When I joined NCR in June 1995, the company was trying to develop comprehensive solutions for six very different industries. NCR was also trying to compete in the personal computer business. And, as margins shrank in the computer industry, NCR wasn't controlling expenses. The company was losing about $2 million a day...Throughout [the subsequent] turnaround, the people of NCR rallied to fix--perhaps even 'save'--the business."

Phillips, Jack J. In Action: Measuring Return on Investment (Vol. 1). American Society for Training and Development: Alexandria, VA 1995.
Phillips, Jack J. Return On Investment In Training and Performance Improvement Programs. Gulf Publishing Company: Houston, TX 1997.
Sherwood, John J. “An Introduction To Organization Development,” in Pfeiffer and Jones, eds., The 1972 Annual Handbook For Group Facilitators. University Associates: Iowa City, IA 1972.
Ulrich, D. Organization Capability. Jossey-Bass: San Francisco, CA. 1990.